HALISTER1: SocGen Increases Exposure to Ivory Coast Eurobonds, Cuts Ukraine

SocGen Increases Exposure to Ivory Coast Eurobonds, Cuts Ukraine

(Bloomberg) -- “The recent agreement with the rebels has considerably reduced the risk of a wide-spread crisis” in Ivory Coast and the sovereign bond valuations are “attractive,” Societe Generale analyst Regis Chatellier comments in note to clients.
  • While cocoa prices of ~$1,900/ton are near historical lows, downside “is limited”
  • “Ivorian bonds are one of the cheapest among EM and they should outperform once the new sovereign bond is issued”
    • NOTE: May 16, Ivory Coast Soldiers End Mutiny as Government Pledges Payout Link
  • Ukrainian exposure reduced to “light overweight”
    • “The fiscal account has been deteriorating and public debt/GDP is fast approaching 90%”
    • “The country has massively outperformed the index in the past four weeks, so that valuations have become less attractive”

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Regis Chatellier (Societe Generale SA)

Topics
Emerging Mkts News, Analysis

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