HALISTER1: Spain 10-Yr Yield Pursues 1.74% Breakout as Catalan Risks Mount

Spain 10-Yr Yield Pursues 1.74% Breakout as Catalan Risks Mount

(Bloomberg) -- Spanish 10-year yield may eclipse the July peak at 1.74% to set sights on 1.80% Fibonacci hurdle ahead of stronger resistance at 1.91%, the long-term average line (see chart here).
  • Spain 10y yield now at 1.70% vs last Friday close at 1.60%, a 10bps rise mostly attributed to the revival of the Catalan independence campaign
  • July peak on radar at 1.73%, with break above to provide impetus for potential rise toward 1.91%, 200- week MA
  • Monday’s breakout gap seen to provide yield support (1.66%-1.64%) in the event of any relief rally; below 1.60% required to reassert the downside focus in yield
  • Spain’s benchmark bonds fell to the lowest in almost three months after Catalan separatist leaders signaled they may be moving toward a unilateral declaration of independence (click here for more)
  • NOTE: Sejul Gokal is a FICC technical strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice
To contact the reporter on this story: Sejul Gokal in London at sgokal1@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Ven Ram at vram1@bloomberg.net Anil Varma

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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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