HALISTER1: Temer 2nd Round Win Favors Reforms, Outlook for 2018: Analysts

Temer 2nd Round Win Favors Reforms, Outlook for 2018: Analysts

(Bloomberg) -- Parties from president Temer coalition achieving a wide win reinforces prospects for economic reforms; second outcome could be a pro-market candidate election in 2018 presidential run, analysts say.
  • “The PT was the party that suffered the most with the Carwash probe”, Rafael Cortez, political scientist at Tendencias Consultoria says in a phone interview
    • While the scandal still represent risks for wide range on politicians, including even the president, threat for Temer is relatively small as he is supported by biggest part of Congress
    • PT likely to show few competitiveness in 2018, even if Lula is not condemned in Carwash
  • Brazil market’s reaction to election result which was “clearly positive‘‘ for Temer, Jose Francisco Goncalves, chief economist at Banco Fator, says
  • Temer government has great potential to approve spending cap bill this years and social security reform in 2017
  • The most important for who plans to invest in long-term projects such as infrastructure is the scenario for 2018; and in this matter, this election was very important, Alvaro Bandeira, economist at brokerage ModalMais says
  • BRL and BZ stocks rise, outpacing peers after municipal vote * NOTE: After election, government now feels more comfortable discussing pension reform, Valor reports
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Alvaro Bandeira (Banco Modal SA)
Jose Goncalves (Banco Fator SA)
Michel Temer (Federative Republic of Brazil)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283