HALISTER1: Too Many Traders Looking for Fed ‘Next Meeting’ Guidance: FTN

Too Many Traders Looking for Fed ‘Next Meeting’ Guidance: FTN

(Bloomberg) -- “Treasury sentiment remained iffy even after the blues hit equities the last two days,” FTN strategist Jim Vogel writes in his first reaction to FOMC’s Nov. 2 statement.
  • “Too many traders” were still looking for clearer intent about FOMC’s December meeting in statement released Wednesday
  • Some talk that fewer dissents in FOMC decision was “form of implied compromise for December that would assuage hawks”; none of that was apparent in statement
  • Most interesting so far is “quick buying” in 10Y; more sensible curve would have at least some 5s/10s steepening; instead “it’s all 5s/30s”
  • Unless stocks “suffer” because S&P 500 fell below 2,100, bonds “should hover around here the rest of the day”
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Jim Vogel (Ftn Financial)

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