HALISTER1: Treasuries Losing Yield Advantage vs Gilts, EGBs: Amherst

Treasuries Losing Yield Advantage vs Gilts, EGBs: Amherst

(Bloomberg) -- FX-hedged yields on 10-year bonds of France, Germany and the U.K. now exceed the U.S. 10-year yield, removing a source of support for Treasuries, Amherst Pierpont Securities strategist Robert Sinche says in July 18 note.
  • Treasuries over past two years were supported by “high yield status,” particularly at long end of curve; 10Y yield at 2.29% now is topped by fx-hedged 10Y yields of France at 2.82%, Germany at 2.55%, U.K. at 2.45%
  • Flattening of UST yield curve and steepening of U.K. and euro-zone curves have made “effective hedged yields in foreign markets more attractive”
  • Flatter yield curves in Canada and Japan leave their bonds relatively unattractive on hedged-yield comparison
  • Related story: The Great U.S. Bond Rush Is Seen Fading as Overseas Yields Rise
To contact the reporter on this story: Anna Windemuth in New York at awindemuth1@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Boris Korby at bkorby1@bloomberg.net Elizabeth Stanton

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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Robert Sinche (Pierpont Securities Inc)

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