HALISTER1: U.K. Polls Show ‘Remain’ Tends to Rebound at Month-End: TD Sec.

U.K. Polls Show ‘Remain’ Tends to Rebound at Month-End: TD Sec.

(Bloomberg) -- The poor showing of ‘Remain’ in Brexit polls at this time of the month isn’t that unusual, TD Securities Senior Global Strategist James Rossiter writes in client note after 2 more polls showed the ‘Leave’ campaign in the lead.
  • Remain tends to poll poorly in the first half of the month, and surges in the second half; reflects polling methods
  • While there is some evidence of firming support for the Leave campaign over and above the seasonal pattern, continue to treat the polls with a serious dose of caution
  • Expect the June 23 vote will be very close, and turnout will be key
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
James Rossiter (Toronto-Dominion Bank/The)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283