HALISTER1: U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Employment Report Due in 5 Minutes

U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Employment Report Due in 5 Minutes

(Bloomberg) -- Following are forecasts for today’s U.S. economic releases as compiled by Bloomberg News:
  • Nonfarm Payrolls 200k; range 150k to 275k (89 estimates)
    • In January, employers added 227,000 workers, the most in four months, though wage growth slowed
  • Private Payrolls 215k; range 155k to 276k (39 estimates)
  • Manu Payrolls 10k; range 5k to 25k (22 estimates)
  • Unemploy Rate 4.7%; range 4.6% to 4.8% (83 estimates)
    • Unemployment rate has been below 5 percent since May
  • Hourly Earn 0.3% m/m; range 0.2% to 0.4% (65 estimates)
  • Hourly Earn 2.8% y/y; range 2.6% to 2.9% (28 estimates)
  • Avg. Weekly Hours 34.4; range 34.3 to 34.4 (33 estimates)
    • "Increased economic optimism seems to be coaxing individuals to enter the labor market, resulting in higher participation -- thus an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.8% in January. However, a rebound in household survey employment in February, which seems likely, could push the rate back to 4.7%:" Bloomberg Intelligence
BUDGET Report Due at 2:00 pm:
  • Budget $-190b; range $-200b to $-140b (13 estimates)

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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