HALISTER1: U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Employment, Trade Balance Due in 5 Minutes

U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Employment, Trade Balance Due in 5 Minutes

(Bloomberg) -- Following are forecasts for today’s economic releases as compiled by Bloomberg News.
  • Nonfarm Payrolls 180k; range 125k to 220k (84 estimates)
  • Private Payrolls 180k; range 100k to 210k (38 estimates)
  • Manu Payrolls 5k; range -3k to 12k (18 estimates)
  • Unemploy Rate 4.3%; range 4.2% to 4.4% (78 estimates)
  • Hourly Earn 0.3% m/m; range 0.1% to 0.4% (58 estimates)
  • Hourly Earn 2.4% y/y; range 2.3% to 2.6% (28 estimates)
  • Avg. Weekly Hours 34.5; range 34.4 to 34.5 (30 estimates)
    • The labor market “remains a particularly bright spot of the economy”: Natwest Markets
    • GDP data “signal that the economy is on a steady trajectory at midyear, and this is likely to be reflected in the July jobs report, as well”: Bloomberg Intelligence
    • In June, the economy added 222,000 non-farm jobs, the most since February
  • Trade Balance -44.5b; range -48b to -43.5b (54 estimates)
    • Preliminary data on June merchandise trade showed a deficit of $63.9 billion, the smallest so far this year
To contact the reporters on this story: Jordan Yadoo in Washington at jyadoo@bloomberg.net; Vincent Del Giudice in Denver at vdelgiudice@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at atanzi@bloomberg.net Kristy Scheuble

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

To de-activate this alert, click here
To modify this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283