HALISTER1: U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Jobless Claims, Productivity Due in 5 Minutes

U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Jobless Claims, Productivity Due in 5 Minutes

(Bloomberg) -- Following are forecasts for today’s economic releases as compiled by Bloomberg News.
  • Initial Claims 235k; range 228k to 255k (42 estimates)
  • Cont. Claims 1894k; range 1850k to 1986k (7 estimates)
    • In the prior report, jobless claims rose from a 44-year low to 233,000
    • "Despite the slight increase, the level of initial claims points to a solid economic backdrop since businesses have opted to maintain work forces amid anticipated gains in demand”: Bloomberg Intelligence
  • Productivity 2.6% q/q; range 1.3% to 3.5% (47 estimates)
  • Unit Labor Costs 0.4% q/q; range -0.8% to 2.5% (41 estimates)
    • "Non-farm productivity growth will likely surge in 3Q, however, such a result should be taken with caution. Non-farm output growth -- the numerator in the productivity calculation - - was artificially boosted in the aftermath of the hurricanes, temporarily inflating inventories and weighing on imports”: Bloomberg Intelligence
    • In the second quarter, productivity rose 1.5 percent, the largest gain since the third quarter of last year
To contact the reporters on this story: Chris Middleton in Washington at cmiddleton2@bloomberg.net; Vincent Del Giudice in Denver at vdelgiudice@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at atanzi@bloomberg.net Kristy Scheuble

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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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