HALISTER1: UST 20-Year Sector Has Cheapened on Supply Prospect: JPMorgan

UST 20-Year Sector Has Cheapened on Supply Prospect: JPMorgan

(Bloomberg) -- 20-year sector “has cheapened along the curve” since TBAC recommended the Treasury Department consider reintroducing a 20-year bond instead of an ultra-long, JPMorgan strategists led by Jay Barry say in May 18 note.
  • In particular, the 4.5% due 2/15/36 cheapened by 2bp vs fitted curve after the refunding announcement, while the 15-year sector richened
  • Most securities near the 20-year sector in the US futures deliverables basket have made “significant,” though not uniform, moves
  • Steepness of May-38/Feb-39 curve “stands out to us as particularly appealing”; they recommend that flattener (4.5% due 5/15/38 vs 3.5% due 2/15/39)
  • Treasury may pose a charge question on the topic of 20-year issuance at the August refunding with an aim to sell one in February, “which should allow the 20-year sector to trade with a smaller premium than in recent years”
To contact the reporter on this story: Elizabeth Stanton in New York at estanton@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Boris Korby at bkorby1@bloomberg.net Greg Chang, Elizabeth Stanton

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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JPM US (JPMorgan Chase & Co)

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Jay Barry (JPMorgan Chase & Co)

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