HALISTER1: UST MORNING CALL: 2Y Auction Performance May Indicate Fed Views

UST MORNING CALL: 2Y Auction Performance May Indicate Fed Views

(Bloomberg) -- Muted price action overnight, USTs slightly higher, led by 3Y-7Y sector.
  • Focus this week on the FOMC meeting, analyst views here
    • Fed aiming to keep June rate hike on the table, resulting in flatter curve; use any flattening to add to 5s30s steepeners, Morgan Stanley analysts write in client note
  • CFTC data shows specs adding steepener positions via FV (+$4.5b) vs WN (-$2.7b); 80k worth of short covering in EDs, though still next short $32.7b, writes Nomura in a client note
    • Full set of CFTC results here
  • Today’s 2Y supply outcome will be telling of how market is setting up for FOMC; a tail would signal credible expectations the market is shaping up for June hike, BMO says in client note
  • Following BOJ, FOMC, attention may turn to month-end extension flows; Barclays U.S. aggregate est. at +0.07yrs, full list here
    • USTs are closed in Tokyo on Friday, may mean month-end flows from Asia are done on Thursday
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283