UST MORNING CALL: Repo Suggests Short Squeeze in 10s: BMO
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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UUID: 7947283
(Bloomberg) -- USTs continue to grind higher, as global themes continue to influence domestic markets.
Alert: HALISTER1- RBS write in client note two themes to define UST curve; persistent demand for duration in safe-haven assets takes precedent over lower-for-longer Fed, momentum shows little signs of overextension in the longer-run trend
- A rebound in next week’s labor market data would prompt repricing in front to intermediate part of the curve; believe buying 1x2 6m3Y ATM, ATM+27 payer spread looks attractive, writes Barclays in a client note
- Citi recently recommend paying 1y1y looking for front-end of U.S. curve to reprice higher: MORE
- 10Y repo rates have been reaching very special levels of late, suggests a short-squeeze in the market could be in place as investors may have entered steepeners, writes BMO in a client note
- Technicals:
- Resistance: 134-07 (June 24 high)
- Support: 132-14+ (50% of June 24 range), 131-01 (61.8% Fibo of June 24 range)
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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UUID: 7947283