HALISTER1: Weak Exports Could Push USD/PHP Toward Two-Week High: Analysis

Weak Exports Could Push USD/PHP Toward Two-Week High: Analysis

(Bloomberg) -- USD/PHP may advance to July 26 high of 47.245 near term if Philippine exports fall as much as or more than economists expect in June, Bloomberg strategist Andrew Robinson writes.
  • Exports fell 12.5% y/y vs 3.8% decline in May, according to median est. in Bloomberg survey; ests. range from -19% to -4.2%; data due 9am local time tomorrow
    • Would be 15th negative month in a row
  • USD/PHP up 0.2% at 46.920 today, holding above 50-DMA at 46.786; FX pair hasn’t closed below this MA since June 23
    • Slow stochastics turns higher to 23, in oversold territory
  • NOTE: Andrew Robinson is an FX strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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