HALISTER1: Riksbank Rate Decision Due in 5 Mins; Est. Rate Unchanged

Riksbank Rate Decision Due in 5 Mins; Est. Rate Unchanged

(Bloomberg) -- Swedish Riksbank policy rate est. unchanged at -0.5%, according to all 19 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey.
  • NOTE: July 4 -- Softer Riksbank Policy Expected in SEB Survey After Brexit Vote
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
1083Z SS (Sveriges Riksbank)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: SocGen Chairman Sees Possible Systemic Crisis on Italy’s Banks

SocGen Chairman Sees Possible Systemic Crisis on Italy’s Banks

(Bloomberg) -- The banking market is under pressure due to the situation in Italy, Societe Generale Chairman Lorenzo Bini Smaghi said in an interview on Bloomberg Television.
  • Europe needs a credible back-stop for its banking system
  • EU banking rules need to be assessed, policy makers need to be pragmatic
  • European solution is needed for Italy; “in this situation, you need policy to step in”
  • Opportunity to consolidate Italian banking industry
  • Germany has too many banks that are not profitable
  • Market concern on Brexit is that we’re in for “very long” negotiations
  • Brexit fears are starting to materialize; people are starting to withdraw from mkts
  • U.K. economy is sitting on major imbalances’’
  • U.K. cutting corporate taxes creates risk of tax competition across Europe, leading to bigger deficits and debts
Alert: HALISTER
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
GLE FP (Societe Generale SA)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: EU CREDIT DAILY: Defensive Bias; Mazda Recall, Aviva, Aeon

EU CREDIT DAILY: Defensive Bias; Mazda Recall, Aviva, Aeon

(Bloomberg) -- A defensive bias has enveloped the global credit space again this week. IG spreads remain well anchored as investors (and the ECB) favor yield at the upper end of the quality curve, but HY bond spreads have come under widening pressure from the Brexit polemic and associated political and global economic uncertainty, Bloomberg strategist Simon Ballard writes.
  • Number of U.K. property funds halting redemptions in wake of Brexit vote has intensified risk aversion
    • Haven flows favor gold and govt bonds, pushing yield structures to ever lower lvls; may further fuel demand for IG yield
  • Asian credit mkts in sharp decline overnight and 20y JGB hitting 0% for first time suggest another challenging session ahead for European risk assets today
  • Risk Appetite Model suggests that, if 2010 is our guide, volatility is set to escalate
  • CDX IG closed +1.6bps at 78.99 in overnight session; iTraxx Asia Ex Japan IG currently +2.3bps at 140.53
NEWS
  • Corporate News
  • Mazda Issues Takata Air-Bag Recall After China Regulator Demand
  • Hyundai Wia Falls to Lowest Close Since 2011 on Earnings Outlook
  • Topps Tiles LFL Revenue Rises 6.2%, Confident to Outperform Mkt
  • Aeon Reports 1Q Net Loss vs Year-Ago Profit; Oper. Profit Falls
  • Carillion Says Performance in Line With Views; 1H Rev. to Rise
  • Financial News
  • Aviva Plans to Increase 2017 Dividend Payout Ratio to 50%
  • MUFG’s Dealing Rooms Come Together to Boost Sales & Trading
  • Commerzbank May See More Cost Reductions, Job Cuts: Handelsblatt
  • Credit Rating News
  • Air Liquide Seeks To Maintain S&P Rating In ’A’ Range
  • Fitch Downgrades CAR Inc. to ’BB’; Outlook Negative
  • Fitch Downgrades China Fishery to ’D’ after US Bankruptcy Filed
  • S&PGR Affirms ’B-’ Ratings on Transportadora de Gas del Sur
  • Other News
  • Japan 20-Year Yield Goes Negative as Treasuries Rally to Record
  • Barclays Traders Face an Unwanted Benchmark for Prison Sentences
  • EU to Keep Letting Carmakers Use Emissions Devices, Welt Says
  • The Case Against Junk-Bond ETFs Where Managers Rout Indexes
ANALYST VIEWS
  • BOE’s latest Financial Stability Report highlighted the post-Brexit challenges facing U.K. banks, but the headline grabber was a relaxation of capital buffer requirements: CreditSights
  • We don’t think there is any easy way out (or any way out) from the current malaise impacting markets. Macro is still struggling despite some more upbeat data points of late and the central banks must be seeing this: creditmarketdaily.com
NEW ISSUES
  • CA Immo EU140m 5Y 1.900% Yield
  • KfW EU1b 0.375% 3/2026 Tap MS -25
  • Kommunekredit EU550m 0.25% 10/2020 Tap MS -5
  • Total EU1.25b 7Y MS +28, EU1.5b 12Y MS +43
  • BOC $2.25b 3-Part, EU500m 5Y Green Bonds
  • European IG credit pipeline here and HY credit pipeline here
  • Issuers exposed to S-T rollover and interest-rate reset risk here
  • NOTE: Simon Ballard is a credit strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Topics
Leveraged Finance

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: Barclays Traders Face an Unwanted Benchmark for Prison Sentences

Barclays Traders Face an Unwanted Benchmark for Prison Sentences

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BN (Bloomberg News)

Tickers
BARC LN (Barclays PLC)

People
Thomas Hayes (Citigroup Global Markets Japan Inc)
Jay Merchant (UBS Securities LLC)
Magnus Peterson (Weavering Capital UK Ltd)
Simon Hart (Reynolds Porter Chamberlain)

To de-activate this alert, click here
To modify this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: Philippine Remittance Agents Say No Probable Cause on Laundering

Philippine Remittance Agents Say No Probable Cause on Laundering

(Bloomberg) -- There’s no probable cause to hold Philrem officials on trial for allegedly helping launder $81m stolen Bangladesh foreign reserves, they said in affidavits submitted to Department of Justice.
  • NOTE: Anti-Money Laundering Council in April filed criminal complaint at Department of Justice against officials of Philrem Service for allegedly helping in laundering Link
  • Michael Bautista and Salud Bautista, Philrem chairman and president respectively, and compliance officer Anthony Pelejo submitted counter-affidavits
  • Nothing in complaint that would establish unlawful activity or predicate crime to money laundering has been committed, they said
  • Alleged unauthorized access to Bangladesh Bank system not shown to have taken place in Philippines; as such no predicate crime could have been committed applying principle of territoriality, Philippine penal laws enforceable only within its territory
  • NOTE: Central Bank Revokes Philrem’s Remittance License After Bank Heist Probe; Philrem transferred bulk of the money to local casinos Link
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: INSIDE ASIA: Currencies, Yields Extend Slide on Hunt for Haven

INSIDE ASIA: Currencies, Yields Extend Slide on Hunt for Haven

(Bloomberg) -- Asian currencies tumble and sovereign bond yields slide to record lows, as investors hunt for haven assets such as gold and yen amid worries about Italian banks and Brexit fallout. Most Southeast Asian mkts are closed today.
  • There’s a long list of woes including trend in JPY, surging risk in Italian banks, and bond yields, Michael Every, head of financial markets research at Rabobank
    • Risk-off sentiment fueled by CNY nearing 6.7 level post Brexit
  • 10-yr Treasury yield falls to record low 1.3499% today; 30- yr also reaches yday’s record low of 2.1294%
    • U.S. Treasury yield may fall toward 1.1%-1.2% as Brexit has raised uncertainty for the economy and monetary policy, and there is risk of U.S. recession later this year or in 2017: MassMutual Life Insurance
  • Australia 10-year bond yield slides 10 bps to record low 1.846%, while same tenor in Japan falls to record minus 0.27%
  • Gold price rises for a sixth day, by 0.78% to 1,367, highest since March 2014
  • USD/JPY breaks below 101 while 20-year govt bond yield falls below zero for first time
    • Downside risk for USD/JPY remains, says Yujiro Goto, London-based senior FX strategist at Nomura, adds that expectations for further easing by BOJ this month are high, and verbal intervention is likely when pair falls toward 100
  • Yuan falls to weakest since Nov. 2010, after PBOC cuts the fixing rate for a second day
    • Revises end-4Q USD/CNY forecast to 7.0 from 6.9 previously after Brexit, Bank of America Merrill Lynch writes in note
    • Authorities are cautiously guiding USD/CNY fixing weaker to prepare for mkt contagion risk from eurozone, says Christy Tan, Asia head of markets strategy at NAB
    • PBOC may cut reserve requirement twice and lower lending rate once in 2H of this year, Jean-Louis Nakamura, chief investment officer at Lombard Odier says in an interview
    • China junk bond spread widens as summer default lull seen ending
  • Aussie declines for a second day while 10-yr yield reaches 1.840% record low on selloff in risk assets and as vote counting continues
    • PM Turnbull’s coalition won 70 seats in the 150-member lower house to Labor’s 67, with independents and minor parties on five, and eight districts still in doubt, according to a projection by ABC with 80% of the vote counted
    • Incoming government should address “very real prospect” of a sovereign rating downgrade as priority, NSW Premier Mike Baird says in interview
    • RBA’s Debelle will be involved in panel participation at industry event later this afternoon
    • NZD falls as average whole-milk powder winning price at auction declines to $2,062/MT from $2,118/MT at previous auction
  • Won headed for third straight day, heading to longest losing streak in 10 weeks
    • Govt will hold meeting to discuss ways to boost trade and investment
  • Baht declines
  • Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines markets are closed for public holidays
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Michael Every (Rabobank International)
Yujiro Goto (Nomura Holdings Inc)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283