HALISTER1: EU CREDIT DAILY: Risk-On Despite IMF Warning; Tesco, JPMorgan

EU CREDIT DAILY: Risk-On Despite IMF Warning; Tesco, JPMorgan

(Bloomberg) -- Risk-on sentiment continues to characterize the European credit space, but corporate price action remains intrinsically susceptible to swings in the macroeconomic outlook, Bloomberg strategist Simon Ballard writes.
  • Strong China trade data and rallying Asian equities overnight suggest a firm European session for risk
    • Oil above $40/bbl on global growth optimism supportive of credit spreads and risk appetite even as IMF warns that Brexit could cause “severe regional and global damage”
  • Primary market clear reflection of buoyancy in sentiment; EU19.5b week to date, EU443.98b YTD
    • But EUR YTD issuance -6.3% vs same period 2015
  • Recent performance of Risk Appetite model highlights resilience of corporate credit, supported by ongoing bid for yield
  • CDX IG currently -0.6bps at 79.56 in overnight session; iTraxx Asia Ex Japan IG is currently -2.5bps at 141.85
NEWS
  • Corporate News
  • WH Smith 1H Headline Pretax Profit In Line With Estimate
  • Tesco Sees Improvement in Profitability in Current Yr
  • De La Rue Sees Higher FY Operating Profit Than Expected
  • BP Reaps Russia Rewards, Earning 22% of Profit From Rosneft
  • China Steelmaker Misses 3rd Bond Payment as Defaults Spread
  • Toyota Recalls About 340,000 Vehicles in Japan Over Two Defects
  • RWE Sees U.K. Profit Recovering as It Seeks to Win Back Clients
  • Financial News
  • JPMorgan Said to Trim 5% of Jobs at Asia-Pacific Wealth Unit
  • Natixis APAC Head of Debt Platform Selvanathan Says Has Resigned
  • Deutsche Bank Said to Hire Citi’s Boyle to Help Lead Derivatives
  • Credit Rating News
  • Nomura Overseas Restructuring Is Credit Positive, Moody’s Says
  • Other News
  • Spain Said to Reduce Bond Sales Amid Drop in Net Issuance
  • ECB Sees Italy Bank Rescue Fund Favorably: Padoan in Sole
  • Basel Bites Again as Rules Push Aussie Banks Toward Longer Bonds
  • Five Lessons From Japan’s Negative Rates: Mohamed A. El- Erian
ANALYST VIEWS
  • The European corporate credit bond market has become very technical. While we are not quite doing away with the notion of risk anymore, the market is certainly behaving (or believing) that “the risks” are remote: creditmarketdaily.com
NEW ISSUES
  • BMO EU1.5b 5Y Covered MS +14
  • Alternatifbank $300m 10NC5 Tier 2 Notes to Yield 9%
  • Gas Natural Fenosa Finance EU600m 10Y MS +75
  • Deutsche Telekom EU500m 5Y MS +35
  • Linde Finance EU750m 12Y MS +40
  • FMO $500m 3Y FRN 3mL +32
  • State of Berlin EU250m 0.625% 3/2026 Tap MS -3
  • European IG credit pipeline here and HY credit pipeline here
  • Issuers exposed to S-T rollover and interest-rate reset risk here
  • NOTE: Simon Ballard is a credit strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
JPM US (JPMorgan Chase & Co)
TSCO LN (Tesco PLC)

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HALISTER1: AUCTION PREVIEW: Analysts See Value in 30Y Gilt vs 50Y

AUCTION PREVIEW: Analysts See Value in 30Y Gilt vs 50Y

(Bloomberg) -- U.K. to auction 3.5% 01/2045 for GBP1.75b at 11:30am CET. Analysts see value in long-end ASW, also vs ultra-longs ahead of 2065 syndication.
  • BNP (Parisha Saimbi)
    • 30Y looks cheap on the curve, expect 10s30s to remain steep until mid-May with heavy long-end supply; 30s50s likely to steepen ahead of the 50Y gilt syndication
    • Long-end ASWs remain cheap, may attract demand from pension funds, cash offers better value in hedging long- end duration needs than swaps
  • Santander (Adam Dent)
    • Scope for long-end gilts to come under further pressure ahead of 2065 syndication; 5s30s curve looks fair, 30s50s too inverted
      • Recommend buying 2045s at auction vs 2065s; target -10bps, stop -15bps
    • 2045s has been consistently cheap on the curve, has seen some extra concession; long-end gilt spreads are tight, particularly compared to Germany, USTs
      • Recommend buying 2045s on ASW vs 6m Euribor
  • JPMorgan (Francis Diamond)
    • Auction bond has richened vs surrounding issues in recent months, now close to most expensive historical lvls; absent of concession, see limited value in owning this bond
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Adam Dent (Abbey Natl Treasury Services)
Francis Diamond (JPMorgan Chase Bank NA)
Parisha Saimbi (BNP Paribas SA)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: McCormick Doesn’t Intend to Make Offer for Premier Foods

McCormick Doesn’t Intend to Make Offer for Premier Foods

(Bloomberg) -- McCormick concluded it wouldn’t be able to propose a price that would be recommended by the Premier Foods board while also delivering appropriate returns for McCormick shareholders.
  • Premier Foods says it sees a “strong future” as an independent co.
    • Says longer-term prospects will be enhanced by co- operation agreement signed with Nissin Foods
  • NOTE: April 11, McCormick May Raise Offer for Premier Foods by 11%, Survey Shows Link
Link to Statement:Link
Alert: HALISTER
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
MKC US (McCormick & Co Inc/MD)
PFD LN (Premier Foods PLC)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: INDIA RATINGS: Jayaram Raised; Agrawal Cotex, Marvel Vinyls Cut

INDIA RATINGS: Jayaram Raised; Agrawal Cotex, Marvel Vinyls Cut

(Bloomberg) -- Here’s a roundup of debt-rating changes of Indian cos. To get this story sent to your inbox real-time, run NI INRATINGS , click on Display & Edit, then Set Alert Delivery. DOWNGRADES
  • Jayaram Textiles
    • Long term bank facilities cut to D from BB- at Care
    • Cites delays in debt servicing
  • MSM Steels
    • Long-term bank facilities cut to D from B+ at Care
    • Cites delays in debt servicing on term loan due to stressed liquidity
  • Yash Automotive
    • Long term bank facilities cut to D from B at Care
    • Cites delays in debt servicing due to liquidity mismatches
UPGRADES
  • Agrawal Cotex
    • Long term rating raised to BB- from B+ at Crisil
    • Cites improvement in liquidity, efficiently managed working capital cycle, availability of bank lines and funding support from founders
  • Marvel Vinyls
    • Long term rating raised to BB+ from BB at ICRA
    • Cites improvement in operating income over past few yrs along with sustained profitability margins
  • Ozone PB Spintex
    • Long term rating raised to BB from BB- at Crisil
    • Cites higher-than-expected profitability due to timely realizations of state govt subsidies, stabilization of operations
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
BRCM IN (Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd)
0896996D IN (Broadcast Engineering Consultants India Ltd)
GRMO IN (GRM Overseas Ltd)
0489204D IN (Jaina Mobile India Pvt Ltd)
KHT IN (Khaitan Electricals Ltd)

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UUID: 7947283