HALISTER1: Turkish Bank Profits to Drop in 2Q as Margins Shrink: Deutsche

Turkish Bank Profits to Drop in 2Q as Margins Shrink: Deutsche

(Bloomberg) -- Second-quarter earnings at Turkish banks to decline 14% q/q, Deutsche Bank analyst Kazim Andac says in emailed research note.
  • Spreads on lira-denominated loans narrowing by about 80bps on average after deposit rates surged
  • Efforts to limit reliance on lira deposits and swap funding increasing significantly, boosting swap costs by an average 133% q/q across for Akbank, Garanti, Halkbank, Vakifbank, Yapi Kedi and Isbank
  • Lira loans increasing about 7.5% in 2Q, driven by state banks, mainly through the Credit Guarantee Fund scheme
  • Net interest income expected to remain almost stable q/q
  • Swap-adjusted net interest margins tightening by 31bps q/q
  • Asset quality strengthening further, backed by a deceleration in non-performing loans; sale of some souring loans will result in NPL ratio improving 18bps q/q, while cost of risk will decline a further 23bps in 2Q
  • Costs seen increasing 4% over 1Q17 on variable compensation
  • Akbank seen posting 23% y/y increase in 1H earnings on stronger top line growth and further relief in loan loss provisions
  • Garanti earnings expected to retain its earnings momentum, with 17% y/y growth in the first half on strong credit growth, higher linker income and lower loan-loss provisions, which should offset the impact of a surge in swap costs and a decline in collections
To contact the reporter on this story: Ercan Ersoy in Istanbul at eersoy@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Stefania Bianchi at sbianchi10@bloomberg.net Vernon Wessels, Paul Armstrong

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
AKBNK TI (Akbank TAS)
GARAN TI (Turkiye Garanti Bankasi AS)

People
Kazim Andac (Deutsche Securities)

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HALISTER1: INDIA RATINGS: Bank of Maharashtra Cut; GMR Hyderabad Raised

INDIA RATINGS: Bank of Maharashtra Cut; GMR Hyderabad Raised

(Bloomberg) -- Here’s a roundup of Indian co. debt-rating changes.
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DOWNGRADES
  • Bank of Maharashtra
    • Basel III Tier 1 perpetual bonds cut to BBB+ from A at Care, Tier 2 reduced to A+ from AA
    • Cites significant deterioration in financial risk profile due to sharp weakening of asset quality
  • Janalakshmi Financial
    • Long-term bank facilities, NCDs cut to A- from A at Crisil
    • Cites prolonged weakness in collection performance, leading to deteriorating asset quality
  • Krishnaping Alloys
    • LT bank facilities cut to BB- from BB at Crisil
    • Cites high working capital requirements due to stretched receivables
UPGRADES
  • Best Paper Mills
    • LT bank facilities raised to BBB+ from BBB at Crisil
    • Cites strengthening of financial risk profile
  • Centrodorstroy India
    • LT bank facilities raised to BBB from BBB- at Care
    • Cites growth in company’s total operating income
  • GMR Hyderabad
    • LT bank facilities raised to AA from AA- at Crisil
    • Cites healthy ramp-up in cash accrual

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
BOMH IN (Bank of Maharashtra)
GMRI IN (GMR Infrastructure Ltd)
6591532Z IN (Best Paper Mills Pvt Ltd)
1019815D IN (Centrodorstroy India Pvt Ltd)
3667144Z IN (Janalakshmi Financial Services Pvt Ltd)

Topics
First Word Credit Asia

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