HALISTER1: ’Big Bounce’ Coming for Canadian Equities, BMO Says

’Big Bounce’ Coming for Canadian Equities, BMO Says

(Bloomberg) -- A "big bounce" is coming for Canadian stocks once calmer heads prevail, BMO chief investment strategist Brian Belski writes in a note.
  • Says the "negative-first" mantra of Canadian-focused investors means a higher loonie and rising bond yields are scaring investors when they should be boosting confidence in the economy
    • In years when the CAD has appreciated from Dec. 31 to the end of August, the TSX rallies on average over the next six months; the same is true of rising 10-year government bond yields
  • Upside should be led by banks and perhaps energy
  • NOTE: Sept. 13, RBC Pushes Back 16,300 S&P/TSX Target to Year-End 2018 from 2017
To contact the reporter on this story: Kristine Owram in Toronto at kowram@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Arie Shapira at ashapira3@bloomberg.net Morwenna Coniam

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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Brian Belski (Bank of Montreal)

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HALISTER1: Brazil’s Interest Rate Cuts Boosting Stocks: Figueiredo

Brazil’s Interest Rate Cuts Boosting Stocks: Figueiredo

(Bloomberg) -- Real interest rates have fallen by half to about 3%, which boosts country’s assets and may help stocks to keep rising, says Luiz Fernando Figueiredo, founder of Maua Capital and former central bank director, in a telephone interview.
  • There is a virtuous cycle in place, with a robust balance of payments, low inflation and falling interest rates
  • Scenario is improving; stocks may rise further as long as there is no rupture in the economy
  • The origin of this improvement is in the political framework; markets consider that there will be no change in economic agenda until the elections; vote will only begin to be priced in in April or May, when candidacies will be known
  • There is a sense of confidence that reform agenda will not change regardless the outcome of the elections, doubt is on degree
  • Besides politics, another reason for the improvement in markets is that investors begin to have greater confidence in outlook for activity
  • Selic rate expected to fall to 6.75% at the end of the easing cycle; real may strengthen further, but not too much beyond BRL3.00 due to election
Original Story: Figueiredo: Queda do juro real pela metade impulsiona bolsa To contact the translator on this story: Taís Fuoco in Sao Paulo at tfuoco1@bloomberg.net To contact the translation editor responsible for this story: Taís Fuoco at tfuoco1@bloomberg.net; Ney Hayashi at ncruz4@bloomberg.net Reporter on the original story: Josue Leonel in Sao Paulo at jleonel@bloomberg.net Editors responsible for the original story: Daniela Milanese at dmilanese@bloomberg.net Taís Fuoco

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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Luiz Fernando Figueiredo (Maua Capital SA)

Topics
Brazil Market Insights

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HALISTER1: Finning International Inc. - DBRS Rating Report

Finning International Inc. - DBRS Rating Report

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Source: DBR (Dominion Bond Rating Service)

Tickers
FTT CN (Finning International Inc)

People
Kam Hon (DBRS Ltd)

Topics
Fixed Income Research
Credit Analysis Research
Credit Research
Investment Research
Issuer Focused Research

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HALISTER1: Goldman Raises Odds of Third Fed Hike This Year to 60% From 55%

Goldman Raises Odds of Third Fed Hike This Year to 60% From 55%

(Bloomberg) -- Increase in odds of a third Fed rate hike this year follows "significantly firmer" August inflation data, Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius write in note. To contact the reporter on this story: Alexandria Arnold in Seattle at abaca3@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Boris Korby at bkorby1@bloomberg.net Greg Chang

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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Jan Hatzius (Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The)

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