HALISTER1: Treasuries Losing Yield Advantage vs Gilts, EGBs: Amherst

Treasuries Losing Yield Advantage vs Gilts, EGBs: Amherst

(Bloomberg) -- FX-hedged yields on 10-year bonds of France, Germany and the U.K. now exceed the U.S. 10-year yield, removing a source of support for Treasuries, Amherst Pierpont Securities strategist Robert Sinche says in July 18 note.
  • Treasuries over past two years were supported by “high yield status,” particularly at long end of curve; 10Y yield at 2.29% now is topped by fx-hedged 10Y yields of France at 2.82%, Germany at 2.55%, U.K. at 2.45%
  • Flattening of UST yield curve and steepening of U.K. and euro-zone curves have made “effective hedged yields in foreign markets more attractive”
  • Flatter yield curves in Canada and Japan leave their bonds relatively unattractive on hedged-yield comparison
  • Related story: The Great U.S. Bond Rush Is Seen Fading as Overseas Yields Rise
To contact the reporter on this story: Anna Windemuth in New York at awindemuth1@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Boris Korby at bkorby1@bloomberg.net Elizabeth Stanton

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Robert Sinche (Pierpont Securities Inc)

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HALISTER1: U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Import Prices Due in 5 Minutes

U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Import Prices Due in 5 Minutes

(Bloomberg) -- Following are forecasts for today’s economic releases as compiled by Bloomberg News.
  • Import prices -0.2% m/m; range -1% to 0.1% (37 estimates)
  • Import prices ex-petro 0% m/m; range -0.1% to 0.2% (7 estimates)
  • Import prices 1.3% y/y; range 1.1% to 3.4% (9 estimates)
    • "The renewed focus on inflation below the Fed’s target will direct greater attention toward key inputs, including import prices. A strengthening trend in the trade-weighted dollar over the past few years has constrained import prices -- which in fact declined for most of 2015 and 2016": Bloomberg Intelligence
    • In May, the import price index fell 0.3 percent, the second decline in three months; year-over-year the index dropped 0.2 percent
  • Export prices 0% m/m; range -0.7% to 0.2% (9 estimates)
To contact the reporters on this story: Chris Middleton in Washington at cmiddleton2@bloomberg.net; Vincent Del Giudice in Denver at vdelgiudice@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at atanzi@bloomberg.net Kristy Scheuble

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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First Word Credit US

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HALISTER1: DBRS: Commentary on CMBS Performance in Houston

DBRS: Commentary on CMBS Performance in Houston

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: DBR (Dominion Bond Rating Service)

People
Gwen Roush (Dbrs, Inc.)
Erin Stafford (Dbrs, Inc.)
Tom Yang (DBRS Inc)

Topics
FI Issuer Research
Fixed Income Research
Credit Analysis Research
Credit Research
Investment Research

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UUID: 7947283